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Melting Ice and Water Scarcity: A Growing Crisis

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回答No.1

 2000年8月19日に、砕氷クルーズ船が北極点に到達したが、この有名な極寒の場所が今では開放水面[*]になっていることを発見したと、ニューヨークタイムズは報じました。 厳しい寒さ、氷、雪、と闘いながら、北極点に到着しようとするアメリカのリチャード・バードのような探検家の悲惨な記事を読んで、成長した世代にとって、この新しい眺めは、想像力に負担をかけるものでした。  北極点への多くの初期の旅行において、クルーズ船は、乗客が氷の上に立っているところを写真撮影してもらうために下船することを許可していました。 今回、船は、写真撮影のために十分に厚さのある氷を見つけるために、数マイル離れなければなりませんでした。 1世紀ほど前の探検家が、2000年の夏に北極点に向けて徒歩旅行していたならば、彼らは最後の数マイルを泳がなければならなかったでしょう。  溶ける氷のマスコミ報道は、個々の氷河や氷冠に一般的に集中します、しかし、氷はほとんど至る所で溶けています。 1986年に記録が残され始めて以来、14回の最も暖かい年が、すべて1980年以降に起こったことを考えれば、これは驚くには当たりません。  水不足もまたニュースになります。 世界の主要な川のいくつかが、干上がって、海まで到達することができません。 それらの中には、アメリカ合衆国南西部の主要な川であるコロラド川が含まれます。 中国では、同国の2本の主要な川の北側の川に当たる黄河は、毎年一時期、もはや海に到達しません。 中央アジアでは、アムダリヤ川は、時々、アラル海に到達することができません、なぜならば、それが上流の潅漑によって干上がってしまうからです。  井戸は、あらゆる大陸で干上がっています。 人口が増加し、収入が上がるにつれて、水の需要は、とにかく、多くの国で供給を上回っています。 お金のある人々は、より深い井戸を掘り、下のほうへ地下水面を追いかけます。 井戸を深くすることができない人々は、苦境に立たされます。  状況は、はるかにより不安定になりそうです、なぜならば、2050年までに世界人口に加えられる32億人の人々は、すでに水不足に直面している国々で生まれるからです。 世界の食糧供給の40パーセントが、潅漑地からもたらされるので、水不足は、食糧の安全保障に直接影響を及ぼします。 もし我々が、水不足と言う未来に立ち向かうのであれば、我々は、食糧不足と言う未来にも立ち向かうことになるのです。  農業が始まって以来、地球の気候は、著しく安定していました。 現在、恐らく温室効果 ― 大気中の温室効果ガス、主に二酸化炭素(CO2)の濃度が上昇して生じる温暖化 ― のせいで、地球の温度は、上昇しています 。  CO2濃度のこの増加は、2つの原因から来ます: 化石燃料を燃やすことと森林の伐採です。 毎年、化石燃料が燃やされて、60億トン以上の炭素が、大気中へ放出されます。 森林伐採による炭素の純放出量の推定量は、かなり幅があるのですが、それらは、1年につき15億トンに集中しています。  これらの2つの源からのCO2の放出は、二酸化炭素を調整する自然の能力を、ただただ、圧倒しています。 産業革命が、1760年に始まった時、化石燃料を燃やすことによる二酸化炭素の排出量は、取るに足りないものでした。 しかし、1950年までに、排出量は、1年につき16億トンに達し、大気中のCO2濃度をすでに押し上げる量になっていました。 2000年には、CO2の排出量は、合計63億トンになりました。 (図2-1を参照。) 1950年以降のこの4倍の増加が、地球を温暖化させる温室効果の中心となっています。  個々の化石燃料の二酸化炭素排出量は、異なります。 石炭を燃やすことは、石油よりも、発生するエネルギー単位当たりより多くの炭素を放出します、そして、石油は、天然ガスよりも多くを放出します。 全世界で5億3200万台のガソリンを燃やす自動車は、何千もの石炭火力発電所と組み合わさって、文字通り、気候変動を引き起こしている推進力です。  さらに、近年、世界は1年につき900万ヘクタールの森林を失っています。 森林は、作物を育てる農地の20倍の炭素をヘクタール当たり容易に取り込みます。 もしも、森林の純減量が、除かれれば、二酸化炭素排出のこの原因は消失するでしょう。 北半球では、森林でおおわれている地域は、実は、1年につき360万ヘクタール増加しています。 * open water 開(放)水域[面]◆囲まれていない広い水域で、なおかつ島や岩礁がなく安全に航行可能な水域を指す。

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